Monday, October 2, 2017

Contrarians might want to Consider Cub Energy (KUB.V)

Given that Cub Energy trades with the symbol KUB on Canada's Venture exchange (TPNEF on the OTCBB in the US) I thought of spelling words starting with the letter C with a K instead.  But then I'd be suggesting that Kontrarians Konsider Kub....three Ks in a row is fine for a pitcher in a baseball game, but otherwise I find it disgusting.  I'm not blowing any dog whistles for KKK types with this blog.  

Anyway, as I so often do I'm digressing.

Contrarian investing/trading, for me it means seeking out those companies that are either out of favour, or that are below the radar.  With Cub Energy I think there's an element of both involved.  Because their operations are in the geopolitically sensitive country of Ukraine, that for me justifies the company being out of favour.  And given the pathetically low volume, KUB.V is obviously far below the radar screens of most investors and traders.

In the past 3 months KUB.V has seen 0 shares trading hands on 9 different days by my count, and not one day of 1 million or more. Most days over the past 3 months have seen less than 100K trading, which for a stock at this level makes the dollar value basically inconsequential.  

A winning strategy I've stumbled on is to buy when volume is incredibly light and then to sell when volume is incredibly high.  Its not 100% full proof though, nothing is.  Sometimes that waited for surge in volume never comes, and on occasion I have lost patience and given up only to see a stock I once held take off.  This isn't the first time I'm writing about KUB.V of course, but the surge in volume I'm waiting and hoping for hasn't materialized yet.  Here's the first post I did on KUB.V in October of last year:



I fully realize that taking out a position in KUB is a pretty boring proposition.  It doesn't have the excitement of penny stocks in the Cannabis space for example.  With MJ penny stocks you often have chop shops pumping out emails to anyone with a brokerage account and a pulse.  You're not going to see social media types proclaiming KUB.V a "no brainer" investment like you do with so many companies that are bleeding cash and printing shares to survive and meet payroll so that Execs can keep pulling in hundreds of thousands while an accumulated deficit grows bigger and bigger.  

Seriously, I think many Penny Stock company CEOs and Execs should be in government, they would fit right in.  But again...I'm digressing.  Besides, CUB Energy is earnings positive as of their most recent quarterly filing, so they don't need to play that game it would seem.  

Its not often you're going to find a stock trading for less than a single Canadian nickel with a Book Value three times higher than the current PPS.  Typically companies trade above their book value, not below it.  

I will leave readers to reach their own conclusions based on research and due diligence, and will close by saying I think this one is overdue for some attention....but in my opinion the stock has been under accumulation and smart money players like to buy low BEFORE the herd shows up.

Blessings and good luck, comments welcome.



1 comment:

  1. I am willing to risk it, but the best price I could get is €0.027 which is more than I expected... I am considering whether this is low enough...

    ReplyDelete